Welcome to Ahmer Tarar's Web Site

Journal Articles

• 2024. Tarar, Ahmer. “Signs of Character: A Signaling Model of Hume's Theory of Moral and Immoral Actions.” Forthcoming in Economics and Philosophy. (Download)

• 2023. Tarar, Ahmer. “Crisis Bargaining in the Shadow of Third-Party Opportunism.” International Studies Quarterly 67(2). (Download)

• 2022. Tarar, Ahmer. “Risk Preferences, Uncertainty, and War.” International Interactions 48(2):233-57. (Download)

• 2018. Tarar, Ahmer. “A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Pascal's Wager.” Economics and Philosophy 34(1):31-44. (Download)

• 2016. Tarar, Ahmer. “A Strategic Logic of the Military Fait Accompli.” International Studies Quarterly 60(4):742-752. (Download)
  • Online Appendix (Download)

• 2013. Tarar, Ahmer, and Bahar Leventoğlu. “Limited Audience Costs in International Crises.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(6):1065-1089. (Download)
  • Online Appendix (Download)

• 2013. Tarar, Ahmer. “Military Mobilization and Commitment Problems.” International Interactions 39(3):343-366. (Download)
  • Online Appendix (Download)

• 2011. Slantchev, Branislav, and Ahmer Tarar. “Mutual Optimism as a Rationalist Explanation of War.” American Journal of Political Science 55(1):135-148. (Download)
  • Online Appendix (Download)

• 2009. Tarar, Ahmer, and Bahar Leventoğlu. “Public Commitment in Crisis Bargaining.” International Studies Quarterly 53(3):817-839. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)

• 2008. Leventoğlu, Bahar, and Ahmer Tarar. “Does Private Information Lead to Delay or War in Crisis Bargaining?” International Studies Quarterly 52(3):533-553. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)

• 2006. Signorino, Curtis S., and Ahmer Tarar. “A Unified Theory and Test of Extended Immediate Deterrence.” American Journal of Political Science 50(3):586-605. (Download)
  • Unpublished Supplement (Download)

• 2006. Tarar, Ahmer. “Diversionary Incentives and the Bargaining Approach to War.” International Studies Quarterly 50(1):169-188. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)

• 2005. Leventoğlu, Bahar, and Ahmer Tarar. “Prenegotiation Public Commitment in Domestic and International Bargaining.” American Political Science Review 99(3):419-433. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)

• 2005. Tarar, Ahmer. “Constituencies and Preferences in International Bargaining.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(3):383-407. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)

• 2001. Tarar, Ahmer. “International Bargaining with Two-Sided Domestic Constraints.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 45(3):320-340. (Download)
  • Unpublished Technical Supplement (Download)