Number Talks: Healthcare, we care

 

Chen Wu and Xin Wu*

 

Wiess School of Natural Sciences, Rice University, Houston, TX,  and *College of Medicine, Texas A&M Health Science Center, College Station, TX

Email:xinwumd@yahoo.com

 

Abstract

 

The World Health Organization (WHO) ranked the U.S. health care system as the highest in cost and responsiveness, 37th in overall performance, and 72nd in overall level of health among 191 member nations in 2000. Overall health spending in the U.S. was $2.3 trillion for 85% insured and 15% uninsured people in 2008. In the same time, the premiums, copayment, deductions, donations, and portion of city, state and federal taxes collected from us are around $2.4 trillion for health care. Medical waste spending, including unnecessary treatment, administrative inefficiency, medical errors, and for-profit ventures took up one-third of the nation's healthcare spending. There is about $450 billion gap between what we paid $2.4 trillion in 2008 and what we will pay with the new approved health reform if with a 15% savings ($1.9 trillion if based on 2008 spending data). In addition, in the current health system, insurance companies can refuse to insure people because of pre-existing conditions, chronic diseases, or unemployment. We are one illness away from financial ruin. We will discuss the issues of current health system, health care reform, doctors’ shortage and income, and possible non-profit insurance companies and government control in the healthcare system. Based on current health spending data, we can achieve the best affordable health care for all from prevention, prediction, preemption, protection, and personal treatments without a tax increase, with savings from reduced administration cost and medical waste, and eliminating the excess profit of for-profit insurance companies. A physician shall always support access to medical care for all people.

 

Key words: Health care spending; Health care reform; Physician shortage; Health insurance

 

 

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“For America must always stand on the side of freedom and human dignity. Always.” (Applause) “Well, I do not accept second place for the United States of America (in the world)” (Applause) President Obama in his first State of the Union address in 2010. However, can it be accepted as rank 37th or worse?

            Certainly, we are number one in many fields such as Science and Technology. We are also the most expensive health care in the world based on health expenditure per person and on total expenditures as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP). Overall health spending reached $2.3 trillion ($7681/person) and was equal to 16.2 percent of the U.S. GDP in 2008. The World Health Organization (WHO) ranked the U.S. health care system as the highest in cost and responsiveness. The United States now spends well over twice the median expenditure of industrialized nations on universal health care system. However, WHO also ranks US health care system as 37th in overall performance, and 72nd by overall level of health among 191 member nations in 2000 and worst in rich countries. As of September 23, 2010, the United States ranked 49th for both male and female life expectancy combined while the risk profiles (e.g. smoking and obesity) of Americans generally improved relative to those citizens from other developed nations. The latter means poor US health outcomes are largely due to health care but not the smoking and obesity.

 

The fact of current health care (before 2014. Figure and table):

(1)  We paid $2.3 trillion in health care for 85% insured (office visits + emergency visits + inpatient care) + 15% uninsured (limited office visits + emergency visits + limited inpatient care) in 2008. Emergency care charge is 5 -10 times more than regular office visits.

(2)  We paid $2.4 trillion from premiums, out-of pocket payment, portion of city, state and federal taxes, Medicare and donations. It is around $100 billion more than total health spending in 2008, for unsecured health care.

(3)  45.7 million Americans (about 15.3% of the total population) had no health insurance coverage at some point during 2007. Most uninsured Americans are working-class personals. They have limited or no preventive care. More than $200 billion from local, state and federal governments (Table legend) were spent to support uninsured people who are not covered by Medicare and Medicaid each year. There is an additional $92 billion (close to 100 billion) from private funding to cover unpaid medical expense.

(4)  Indirect health care costs 31% of all health care expenditures in the US (i.e. about 750 billion), including hundreds of health insurance providers administrative costs, costs of billing, profits for the insurance companies, and wasteful medical spending account. It only accounts 15-17% in single payer health care systems in other rich industrial countries (e.g. Canada and UK). Wasteful medical spending in the US includes unnecessary treatment (40% of the waste), fraud (19%), administrative inefficiency (17%), and medical errors (12%), comprised one-third of the nation's healthcare spending. The five biggest for-profit health insurers made a combined profit of $12.2 billion in 2009. There are hundreds more health insurance providers. Most insurance companies run with profits.

(5)  Private insurance companies can refuse to insure us for pre-existing conditions. If we lose our job or income, we lose our insurance even though you might pay insurance for many years in the past. When we need them most, they drop us. We are one illness away from financial ruin or bankruptcy.

(6)  Almost 100,000 people, whether insured or uninsured, died in the United States each year, because of lack of needed care or access to care duo to the issues of copayment and deductions. It is three times the number of people who died of AIDS. In the next 10 years (2010-2019). More than 275,000 adults across the nation will die prematurely due to a lack of health coverage based on a scientific report in 2005.

 

        We should support any health reform that is better than current health care. A good health care includes prevention, prediction, preemption, protection and personal treatments (5Ps). Health is one of the most basic human rights. We must have a healthy body and mind to study, to work, and to support our family and ourselves.

 

We can achieve the best affordable health care system without a tax increase based on current health spending data, by reducing administration costs and wasteful medical spending, and eliminating excess profit by for-profit insurance companies. The system should be as follows:

(1)  Non-profit insurance companies or a single insurance system to care for everyone.

(2)  No out-of-pocket payments because copayments and deductibles are barriers to access to care for many people. The out-of-pocket spending by us is $345 billion in 2008. It is possible to get health care without worrying about how much money you have to pay. If we cut non-health care costs by 15%, we will save $350 billion based on spending (2.3 trillion) in 2008 or $450 billion based on we paid (2.4 trillion) in 2008 (Table and Figure). The saving could cover all out-of-pocket spending.

(3)  Free choice of providers: Patients should be free to seek care from any licensed health care provider.

 

Based on the table, healthcare costs for every 10% of the insured population are $200 billion if combining paid by out-of-pocket, private insurance company, Medicaid and Medicare (i.e. total 2.3 trillion - $200 billion from governments for uninsured people - $100 billion from other private funding = total $200 trillion for insured population. Table legend), or $160 billion per 10% if indirect health care cost cut 15% (about 1.9 trillion. Figure and Table).

 

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Figure. The fact of current health care (billion).

 

Table: The fact of current health care (billion).

 

CDC 2005 report

2008 spending

 

as new health law proposed (15% saving in admin cost)

If deduct all administration cost (-31%) as current level

We paid in 2008

 

Out-of-pocket

15%

345

293.25

240

345*

Private health insurance

36%

828

703.8

576

870**

Government

45%

1035

879.75

720

1035***

Other private funds

4%

92

78.2

64

92****

Medicare paid (1.45% of income)

 

 

 

 

114*****

Total

100%

2300

1955

1600

2456

 

*:  The 15% of out-of pocket spending includes copayment and deductible payment.

**:  Private health insurance premium paid: Used average of (826+920)/2 = $870 billion in the Figure. The data calculated based on 195 million people paid premium of private insurance company in 2008. The annual premium for single coverage averaged over $4,700 (195 million in private section: 195 million * 4700 = $920 billion). The annual premium for an employer health plan covering a family averaged nearly $12,700 (if 3 people a family: (195 million /3) * 127000 = 826 billion in 2008. It has been reported that is $137700 for each family in 2010 (about $890 billion)). Our paid premium should be close to high-end of $920 billion if combining $828 billion health spending by private health insurance in 2008 plus companies’ profit as mentioned above.

***: $1035 billion from government (from Tax dollar) paid in 2008. Spending on Medicare for the elderly and disabled was $469.2 billion in 2008. Spending on Medicaid was $329.4 billion in 2008. There are more than 200 billion differences after deducted spending of $1035 billion from Medicare and Medicaid. In the $200 billions, $100 billion from federal government and $100 billion from state and local governments were paid to uncompensated care costs for uninsured and underinsured people to hospitals and Clinics.

****: Other private funds (close to 100 billion or 92 billion), i.e. charity care for someone who cannot pay his health care spending, is sometimes available, and is usually funded by non-profit foundations, religious orders, government subsidies, or services donated by the employees.

***** based on Census report that 116,783, 000 householder with mean household income 67,609, and Medicare rate = 1.45%.

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There is near $300 billion (13% of 2.3 trillion spending) in uncompensated costs for uninsured (ER visit + limited inpatient care) and underinsured (ER + limited office visit + limited inpatient care) after combining federal ($100 billion), state and local governments ($100 billion), and private funding (close to 100 billion). The emergency room (ER) charge per visit is 5 -10 times than office visits. Therefore, It should be enough to cover 15% uninsured people with $300 billion for affordable 5Ps because regular office visits will decrease unnecessary expensive ER visits. Our overall level of health will also get improved.

 

We have paid around $2.4 trillion for $2.3 trillion overall health spending in 2008. That is a $100 billion gap. It would be the profits for hundreds of private insurance companies and drug companies. There is a $350 billion difference (potential saving) between what we spent (2.3 trillion) and the new proposed health bill ($1.9 trillion) with a 15% savings (the percentage is similar to single insurance system) from reduced administration costs, medical waste and possible profits. This adds up to a $450 billion difference (potential saving) between what we paid ($2.4 trillion) and new proposed health bill ($1.9 trillion). It is possible that we can get health care without worrying about how much money we have to pay for copayments and deductions. It was $345 billion out-of-pocket in 2008. However, we have $350 or $450 billion potential saving.

 

We can reduce the budget after reducing administration costs and wasteful spending, and switching for-profit insurance company for non-profit company. Overall health spending can be reduced to around $1.6 – $1.9 trillion without adversely affecting the quality of care or access to care if it is a single health insurance system. It also suggests our country can provide health care for everyone without an increase in tax or premium because what we and the government paid, including premiums, tax and donations, already covers far more than enough for care for everyone (2.4 trillion paid vs 2.3 trillion spending in 2008). If the 15% saving in indirect health care cost (31% of overall 2.3 trillion costs now) is not approached, it should be acceptable for increasing your Tax as you don’t have to pay any premiums, copayment, and deduction when you sick. You don’t have to worry about any medical bill whatever how severe is your illness later. You don’t have to file bankruptcy because you are sick.

         Everybody in America can live in his or her equal right and dignity. We need more health reform. Let American stand on the side of freedom, human dignity and rights. Together, we can: health care for all with no tax on you, no tax on me, and no taxing the baby on the knee (Applause?).

 

Frequently asked questions for whether we can offer health care for all can be answered by the following:

 

1)            Why do I pay for someone who doesn’t want to work (no insurance) and support himself?

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that 45.7 million Americans (about 15.3% of the total population) had no health insurance coverage at some point during 2007. About 50% of uninsured Americans are working-class persons whose employers do not provide health insurance, and who earn too much money to qualify for one of the local or state insurance programs for the poor, but do not earn enough to cover the cost of enrollment in a private health insurance plan designed for individuals. Another study by the Commonwealth Fund published in Health Affairs estimated that 16 million U.S. adults were underinsured in 2003.

You have always paid for uninsured or underinsured people. Your taxes and donations paid to Medicaid, Medicare, the State Children’s Health Insurance Program, and other similar state-based insurance programs for poor and near-poor citizens and Veterans Health Care. The changes of annual premium are partially based on the previous year’s loss from individuals who can’t pay for hospitals and clinics. We don’t know exact number of loss. However, we do know that 80–85% of uncompensated care costs have been paid with more than 200 billion a year by the federal government, and by state and local tax to hospitals. Another $100 billion in uncompensated costs is paid from private funding such as charity and free clinics.

Uninsured people are less likely to have regular health care and use preventive services because they have to pay more payment for each visit. They are more likely to delay seeking care, resulting in more medical crises, which are more expensive than ongoing regular treatment for such conditions as diabetes and high blood pressure. The uncontrolled rate in 75 million patients with hypertension who seeks treatment was about only 55% (41 million) based on data from National Institute of Health in 2010. 21 million hypertension patients in uninsured and underinsured populations could belong to uncontrolled group because they don’t have enough money for continuously long-term medications and no or limited health care access.

Uninsured patients are twice as likely to visit hospital emergency rooms as those with insurance.  In Texas, 9 patients made nearly 2,700 ER visits in 5 years. In Utah, a woman made 90 ER visits a year.  The ER costs are 5-10 times more expensive than regular office visits. If healthcare is everyone, people could go to the doctor’s office without pay copayment and deduction for any uncomfortable symptoms instead going to the ER.

One thing most people forget to mention is that we give ‘universal’ health care to people in jails (total 7.3 million in jail, prison, on probation or on parole in 2009). Near 40% of people in jail have a chronic medical condition. Georgia, one of the 10 largest prison systems in the country, spends about $3 billion ($8500/person) a year on inmate medical care. The health care that is rendered behind bars is better than what is received in the general population ($7681/person).  Many people released from jail will lost their health care because of most likely uninsured as they're difficult to find you a job. In addition, we provide billions to other countries for humanity activities. Why we don’t want to take care of our own people?

 

2)            I love my current health insurance. I am secured now and I will enjoy Medicare when I am getting old (> 65 years old).

Based on recent research, more than 62 percent of bankruptcies are linked to medical bills, more than 77% of these bankrupt families had health insurance and most medical debtors were well-educated middle-class homeowners. 61% of the bankrupt have private insurance coverage, and 16% of the bankrupt have Medicare or Medicaid. Medicaid and Medicare are not entirely free programs. You still need to pay premiums and copayments for part of the programs. In addition, you need to pay long-term care insurance too if you can’t take care of yourself.

The out-of-pocket expenses are large if you have a chronic disease. Out-of-pocket medical costs are $17,943 for all medically bankrupt families, $26,971 for uninsured patients, $17,749 for those with private insurance, $14,633 for those with Medicaid, $12,021 for those with Medicare, and $6545 for those with Veterans Affairs/military coverage. For patients who initially had private coverage but lost it, the family’s out-of-pocket expenses averaged $22,568. In addition, 40% of the medical bankrupted family lost insurance after 2 years of illness. When you need health insurance the most, you lose it. You are one illness away from financial ruin or bankruptcy in our country.

 

3)            In the new health care system, doctor shortage will be getting worse and doctors’ incomes will be lowered. The quality of health care will be down with long waits for treatment.

One of the Principles of medical ethics in the American Medical Association Code of Medical Ethics is ‘A physician shall support access to medical care for all people’.

People worry about physician shortage if health care is available for all. This problem is a long-term problem and is not because of health care for all. The U.S. is short by between 40,000 and 50,000 primary care doctors especially in underserved areas in 2008, a figure that’s expected to top 125,000 or even worse by 2020, according to the American Academy of Family Physicians.  The current estimated shortage of primary care doctors is only 7,400 in the June 2010 report issued by the American Association of Medical Colleges. However, based on the Association of American Medical College website, 3000 to 6000 medical graduates can’t be matched to medical training programs each year. They are not eligible for licensure by a US medical licensing authority if you don’t have trained in residency program even though you passed all United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE Step 1, Step 2 Clinical Knowledge, Step 2 Clinical Skill and Step 3). ‘Step 3 assesses whether you can apply medical knowledge and understanding of biomedical and clinical science essential for the unsupervised practice of medicine, with emphasis on patient management in ambulatory settings’-based on USMLE.org website statement. Majorities of unmatched medical graduates are foreign medical graduates (FMG), certified by the Educational Commission for Foreign Medical Graduates after passing the USMLE.  Most of those unmatched FMGs will have to find jobs not in health care several years later because their USMLE test results are probably expired, and they have to find a way to support themselves and even their family. Lawmakers have failed to increase the number of federally funded residency positions. Congress must lift the cap on residency funding. If state or federal grants are limited, we can allow unmatched medical graduates to sign contracts with local health agencies to serve underserved areas after training and receive funds for their training. Or we can offer unpaid training in approved training facilities or apprenticeships under individual physicians. The unmatched medical graduates spent their effort, money, and time to acquire medical experience in their own countries and possibly in the US, and passed the USMLE. Most graduates were well trained and have a language advantage for minorities. In the near future, 28 states may expand physician assistant and nurses' role to be your doctor. It is not acceptable for not giving an opportunity to those high talented medical graduates who have medical education, strict clinical training and passed USMLE, especially for those passed all USMLE steps, to pursue medical practice while we have a large shortage of physicians and expanded the roles of physician assistant and nurses in the health care.

The physician’s incomes might not be decreased but income in Doctors’ office might be lowered because of the cut in administration cost. A physician’s income is normally based on patients’ visits in private sectors. If health care is provided for all under a single insurance plan, while maintaining current health care spending ($2.3 trillion), doctors’ incomes will not be affected much. A physician, especially a family physician, will get more patient visits, and does not have to worry about whether the patients can pay or not. This also reduces the administration costs to deal with patients’ payments and deal with different insurance companies. The physician currently is one of the most stressful careers. As an ordinary person, a physician does not have to worry about health spending when he and his family members are getting sick. This saves money for them too under health care for all.

Health care quality should not be lowered after health care for everyone. The WHO ranks the US health care system as 37th in overall performance, and 72nd by overall level of health and worst in rich countries. Medical errors happen more frequently here than in other rich countries. Under health care for all, all physicians have the same training as before. Malpractice lawsuits, 3% of overall health spending, about 60 billion/year in 2008, are still an option for medical errors. A recent study by the Institute of Medicine of the National Academy of Sciences estimated that as many as 98,000 patients may be killed each year in hospitals alone as a result of medical errors by about 815,000 physicians. If physicians’ income is not just related to how many patients’ visits in their office each day, they will spend more time to take care each patient, carefully check their medical history and interactions among all medications. This practice should reduce medical errors.

            Overall quality of health care in Britain and Canada is better than ours, even though the waiting time for non-emergency care in Britain and Canada might be longer than us. Good health care includes prevention, prediction, preemption, protection and personal treatments. The patients in health care for all system are likely to receive more preventative care and less medical errors.

            Long waiting for family physicians and specialist visits for non-emergency care are common in our country and other rich countries with health care for all. Most of us have experienced waiting for days for our own family physicians and weeks waiting for a specialist’s visit in non-emergency situations. What is the difference between one month and two months of waiting?  Both situations are not good. Patients might have died waiting for treatment. This problem is difficult to resolve if any physician shortage exists.

4)            The Medicare and the post office the government runs are all in trouble. So if government runs the health care, it is socialism, and it will not run well. We don’t want the government involved our health care.

Most developed rich countries, for example Great British and Canada, give health care for all citizens. They are not Socialism but still Capitalism. We all love freedom, but at the same time we all want to have good welfare, human dignity, and rights.

It might be misleading to believe that everything government-run is in trouble. Do private companies handle everything better? When so many large companies such as Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, General Motor, American Home mortgage Inc, MCI Worldcom, and Enron companies bankrupted, millions of the people lost their retirements, investments and jobs. When bailout money goes to AIG, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and big banks, how can we say private companies are better than others? Government is not our enemy; it is voted by our taxpayers and sometimes is probably a lifesaver. When your banks claimed bankruptcy after moving excess profits in their own pockets for many years, the FDIC protected you. When your company claimed bankruptcy, you claimed unemployment benefits from the government. When your companies are one step away from bankruptcy, they ask the government for a bailout. When your health insurance company no longer wants to insure you because you are either too sick, getting older, or no longer able to work, (local, state and federal) governments cover you through Medicaid and Medicare, and reimburse hundreds of billion per year to your unpaid care costs to local hospitals and clinics. Another well-known ‘bad’ example of government affairs is USPS. However, if there is no USPS, we might have to send our regular letters for more than $1 a piece instead of $0.44 (if regulations prohibit private companies to do business with first class mails, then it will be another story). We are very sorry for the victims who lost everything after recent Ponzi schemes (e.g. Madoff's 60 billion and Texas Stanford $7 billion). However, the victims asked help from the government after the Ponzi scheme.

In addition, how many health insurance companies are private? Many insurance companies are public. If you can pay insurance for FDIC and unemployment, why don’t you want to pay health insurance and get protected when you need it most? We're currently one illness away from financial ruin or bankruptcy.

We might need non-profit insurance companies if not government-run agencies. Based on the Securities and Exchange Commission record, the five biggest for-profit health insurers, UnitedHealth Group Inc., WellPoint Inc., Aetna Inc., Humana Inc., and Cigna Corp., made a combined profit of $12.2 billion in 2009. There are hundreds or even thousands of health insurance companies in America. Why you can provide money to pay millions to insurance company executives but do not take care of your own future? The money from switching for-profit to non-profit insurance companies to reduce administration costs and excess profits is enough to cover health care for everyone (Figure and Table).

 

 

 

 

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